Bank of Canada

Thursday January 18, 2018

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Thursday January 18, 2018

Bank of Canada raises key interest rate to 1.25% despite NAFTA worries

The Bank of Canada raised its key lending rate by a quarter percentage point to 1.25 per cent Wednesday, the third time it has moved its benchmark rate from once-record lows last summer.

The bank’s rate has an impact on rates that Canadians get from retail banks for things like mortgages, savings accounts and GICs. The move means borrowers can expect to pay more, but savers can expect to earn more, too.

After the central bank moved in the morning, the Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank each hiked their prime lending rates by the same amount, 25 points, in the afternoon. The new rates of 3.45 per cent will be in effect as of Thursday, Jan. 18. Canada’s other big banks are expected to follow suit.

The Bank of Canada was widely expected to raise its key rate after economic data in recent months showed gross domestic product growing, the job market healthy and the cost of living ticking higher.

The bank’s benchmark rate is now at its highest level since 2009.

In the MPR, the bank nudged up its expectations for how the economy will perform this year and next. The bank now expects Canada’s economy to expand by 2.2 per cent this year and 1.6 per cent in 2019. Previously the bank was anticipating 2.1 and 1.5 per cent growth. 

But while broadly positive about the economy’s prospects, the bank cited “uncertainty about the future of NAFTA” as a reason for concern moving forward. (Source: CBC) 

 

Wednesday July 12, 2017

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Wednesday July 12, 2017

Bank of Canada may hike interest rate for 1st time in 7 years

After almost a decade of warnings that never came to pass, it appears as though the Bank of Canada is ramping up to hike its benchmark interest rate — possibly as soon as next week.

July 16, 2015

On July 12, Canada’s central bank will announce its latest decision on where to place its trend-setting interest rate, which has an impact on the rates that Canadian borrowers and savers get for their bank accounts, mortgages and other products.

Eight times a year, the bank’s board of governors meets to assess the latest economic indicators and decide whether Canada’s economy needs a shot in the arm from a rate cut, or a pump of the brakes by way of a hike.

And for the first time in 54 such meetings, it’s looking like the latter is in order.

It’s not like there haven’t been warning signs. By the time Stephen Poloz was named to replace Mark Carney atop the bank in 2013, the central bank had already been on the sidelines for more than two years, its benchmark interest rate set at one per cent.

May 13, 2010

But even as the bank kept loans cheap coming out of the financial crisis, the messaging from the top came early and often that Canadians should be forewarned — rates have to go up eventually.

As far back as 2014 Poloz warned Canadians that rates would rise “soon” — before oil’s plunge in 2015 caused the bank to lose its nerve. Instead, the central bank moved in the opposite direction, cutting rates twice that year to bring its rate to 0.5 per cent, where it currently sits.

At the time, those hikes were described as a temporary measure to help a Canadian economy that had been waylaid by an oil price that lost more than 70 per cent of its value in a matter of months. But in recent weeks the bank has started leaving clear signals that despite oil still being in the $40-per-barrel range, those temporary conditions are over and it’s time for a return to normalcy. (Source: CBC News) 

 

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Wednesday February 11, 2009

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Wednesday February 11, 2009

Carney maintains his rosy outlook

Even as the economic horizon darkens, the man who controls the levers behind Canada’s performance is still predicting the economy will pick itself up off the floor starting later this year and stage a strong rebound in 2010.

Nearly alone among respected forecasters, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney has said the combined efforts of Canada, the United States and other industrial nations to counteract the global recession will begin to turn things around here by late summer.

Asked yesterday by an opposition MP if the central bank was not out “on something of an optimistic limb” in its predictions, Carney told the Commons finance committee: “We don’t do optimism, we don’t do pessimism.

“We do realism at the Bank of Canada. We don’t do spin.”

Carney, 43, a former Goldman Sachs executive and finance department whiz kid, expressed full confidence in the bank’s number crunching.

It’s based on hundreds of interviews with business people, bank loans surveys and 21 economic forecasting models, he said.

Still, Carney tempered his relatively upbeat outlook by cautioning that all forecasts are “subject to an unusually high degree of uncertainty” now because of the speed and worldwide reach of the current economic downturn. (Source: Toronto Star)