loonie

Wednesday July 26, 2017

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Wednesday July 26, 2017

Rising loonie: The Winners

Buoyed by strong sentiment about the state of the Canadian economy, and getting the benefit of general weakness in the U.S. greenback, the Canadian dollar is now flying in territory it hasn’t seen in two years.

A recent interest rate increase by the Bank of Canada, and the expectation of more to come, has the loonie up about 10 per cent over the past six weeks.  The Canadian dollar rose above 80 cents US on Monday before closing at 79.97 cents US.

January 14, 2016

“The obvious winner would be the average Canadian, just in terms of their travel plans or in terms of what they buy from the U.S.,” said Doug Porter, chief economist at Bank of Montreal.

The recent loftiness of the loonie makes it cheaper for Canadians to travel when they buy vacations priced in U.S. dollars.

For example, a one-week cruise out of Fort Lauderdale, Fla., priced at $878 US would have cost $1,203 Cdn when the loonie was trading at 73 cents US. With the loonie at 80 cents, that same cruise would cost $1,097 Cdn — meaning a consumer would save $106.

Similar to consumers, Canadian businesses that buy goods or services in U.S. dollars would wind up paying less for those items after factoring in the effects of our fluctuating currency.

For example, professional sports teams often pay player contracts in U.S. dollars.  A stronger loonie means the revenue earned in Canadian dollar goes further when it comes to paying players in greenbacks. (Source: CBC News) 

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Thursday January, 14, 2016

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator Ð Thursday January, 14, 2016 Canadian dollar will drop to 59 cents US in 2016, Macquarie forecasts A day after the loonie slipped below the 70-cent US level for the first time since 2003, a forecaster at investment bank Macquarie says he expects the loonie to lose another 10 cents to reach an all-time low of 59 cents by the end of 2016. David Doyle of Macquarie Capital Markets Canada Ltd. lowered his Canadian dollar forecast to 59 cents US on Tuesday. That would eclipse the all-time low for the loonie, set on Jan. 21, 2002, at 61.79 cents US. Doyle knows of what he speaks. Last February, when the Canadian dollar was valued at just over 80 cents, he Ñ correctly, as it turns out Ñ predicted the loonie would hit 69 cents US at some point in the next 12 months. It did so Tuesday. "Once [the loonie] reaches this level," Doyle said, "it should remain subdued through [the end of] 2018 and potentially even longer." Doyle's new forecast doesn't see the loonie above 65 cents US at any time between the end of 2016 and the two years that follow. The loonie has been whipsawed of late by oil and the U.S. dollar. Oil prices can't find a bottom, with a barrel of the North America crude oil benchmark dipping below $30 a barrel for the first time in 13 years on Tuesday. That's dragging the loonie down with it, as Canada's dollar is widely considered to be a play on oil prices. But strength in the U.S. dollar is making the loonie look even worse. Economic uncertainty makes investors flock to assets perceived as safe, and for the most part none are perceived to be safer than the U.S. dollar. That drives up the greenback's value. So while the Canadian dollar is sliding lower compared to most currencies, it looks especially cheap compared to the U.S. buck. (Source: CBC News) http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/macquarie-loonie-forecast-1.3401644 Canada, USA, dollar, loonie, currency, George Washington, bridge, cross, borde

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Thursday January, 14, 2016

Canadian dollar will drop to 59 cents US in 2016, Macquarie forecasts

A day after the loonie slipped below the 70-cent US level for the first time since 2003, a forecaster at investment bank Macquarie says he expects the loonie to lose another 10 cents to reach an all-time low of 59 cents by the end of 2016.

Friday January 30, 2015David Doyle of Macquarie Capital Markets Canada Ltd. lowered his Canadian dollar forecast to 59 cents US on Tuesday. That would eclipse the all-time low for the loonie, set on Jan. 21, 2002, at 61.79 cents US.

Doyle knows of what he speaks. Last February, when the Canadian dollar was valued at just over 80 cents, he — correctly, as it turns out — predicted the loonie would hit 69 cents US at some point in the next 12 months.

It did so Tuesday.

“Once [the loonie] reaches this level,” Doyle said, “it should remain subdued through [the end of] 2018 and potentially even longer.”

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, Editorial Cartoonist, The Hamilton Spectator - Thursday October 15, 2009 Big problems in higher dollar There is a certain giddiness attached to a soaring Canadian dollar, with visions of cheaper trips to Florida or New York for those who canÊafford to travel. There is also a degree of smugness about us doing better than the Americans in managing the economy. We should dismiss such thoughts, however. The fact is that a higher-valued dollar is a disaster for Ontario's economy, based as it is onÊexports of manufactured goods into the U.S. market. Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters (CME) estimates that, for every hike of oneÊcent in the value of our dollar, 25,000 factory jobs are lost. And since the beginning of this year, the loonie has gone up 15 cents. Partly this is attributable to our better fiscal situation, in comparison to the tax-averse Americans. (The U.S. deficit Ð a staggering $1.6Êtrillion this year Ð is "unsustainable," according to the Congressional Budget Office.) And partly it can be traced to rising prices forÊcommodities, particularly oil, for the loonie is now a "petro-dollar." For manufacturers, this is a double whammy: the higher dollar makes their products less competitive in the American market, and higherÊoil prices drive up their costs. "Canadian manufacturers are really caught between a rock and a hard place," says CME President Jayson Myers. Prime Minister StephenÊHarper notes the "difficult effects" on the economy. (Source: Toronto Star) Canada, Dollar, loonie, strength, strong, imports, exports, fish, skeleton, bones, economy

The good old days

Doyle’s new forecast doesn’t see the loonie above 65 cents US at any time between the end of 2016 and the two years that follow.

The loonie has been whipsawed of late by oil and the U.S. dollar. Oil prices can’t find a bottom, with a barrel of the North America crude oil benchmark dipping below $30 a barrel for the first time in 13 years on Tuesday. That’s dragging the loonie down with it, as Canada’s dollar is widely considered to be a play on oil prices.

June 17, 1998But strength in the U.S. dollar is making the loonie look even worse.

Economic uncertainty makes investors flock to assets perceived as safe, and for the most part none are perceived to be safer than the U.S. dollar. That drives up the greenback’s value. So while the Canadian dollar is sliding lower compared to most currencies, it looks especially cheap compared to the U.S. buck. (Source: CBC News)

Thursday August 27, 2015

By Graeme MacKay, Editorial Cartoonist, The Hamilton Spectator - Thursday August 27, 2015 Declining dollar has Canadians rethinking cross-border shopping habits Many Canadians are wondering if they can cram some last-minute cross-border travel plans into the next few weeks while others are already deep into back-to-school shopping excursions. And money Ð more than ever before Ð is taking precedent in the planning. While it has not been definitively declared a recession, CanadaÕs shrinking economy certainly has some residents concerned. According to a recent survey from digital offers RetailMeNot.ca, 73% of Canadians are worried about the nationÕs economy. JulyÕs interest-rate cut was made in hopes of stimulating growth, but only 31% of survey respondents feel confident that the Canadian dollar will strengthen before the end of the year Ð making it more important than ever for Canadians to stretch their income further. The current state of the economy has Canadians paying more attention to their spending habits. Sixty-five per cent agree that itÕs important to stick to a budget no matter the personal sacrifice, with 62% stating that cutting back has them missing out on certain activities. Research shows other habits Canadians are adopting to save money include buying everything on sale (72%), limiting meals at restaurants (62%), searching for coupon and promo codes (49%) and taking public transportation or carpooling (18%). ÒNearly half of Canadians are worried about being able to afford everything they need this year,Ó says Kristen Larrea for RetailMeNot, Inc., operators of the world's largest marketplace for digital offers. ÒHowever, with a little savvy spending, consumers should be able to satisfy their needs and wants throughout 2015. Simple behavioural changes, such as utilizing price comparison tools and checking for online promo codes, will help Canadians maximize their purchasing power, so they can get more for their money.Ó (Source: Toronto Sun) http://

By Graeme MacKay, Editorial Cartoonist, The Hamilton Spectator – Thursday August 27, 2015

Declining dollar has Canadians rethinking cross-border shopping habits

June 17, 1998Many Canadians are wondering if they can cram some last-minute cross-border travel plans into the next few weeks while others are already deep into back-to-school shopping excursions. And money – more than ever before – is taking precedent in the planning.

While it has not been definitively declared a recession, Canada’s shrinking economy certainly has some residents concerned. According to a recent survey from digital offers RetailMeNot.ca, 73% of Canadians are worried about the nation’s economy. July’s interest-rate cut was made in hopes of stimulating growth, but only 31% of survey respondents feel confident that the Canadian dollar will strengthen before the end of the year – making it more important than ever for Canadians to stretch their income further.

The current state of the economy has Canadians paying more attention to their spending habits. Sixty-five per cent agree that it’s important to stick to a budget no matter the personal sacrifice, with 62% stating that cutting back has them missing out on certain activities. Research shows other habits Canadians are adopting to save money include buying everything on sale (72%), limiting meals at restaurants (62%), searching for coupon and promo codes (49%) and taking public transportation or carpooling (18%).

Friday January 30, 2015“Nearly half of Canadians are worried about being able to afford everything they need this year,” says Kristen Larrea for RetailMeNot, Inc., operators of the world’s largest marketplace for digital offers. “However, with a little savvy spending, consumers should be able to satisfy their needs and wants throughout 2015. Simple behavioural changes, such as utilizing price comparison tools and checking for online promo codes, will help Canadians maximize their purchasing power, so they can get more for their money.” (Source: Toronto Sun)

Friday January 30 2015

June 17, 1998A redo, 17 years later

In 1998 I had a completely different style when it came to cartooning that relied entirely on the cross hatching technique, a standard used by editorial cartoonists for centuries. By 2001, I had mostly abandoned the usage, thanks to the introduction of Photoshop as a means to edit cartoons on computer. I’m still very fond of the technique and I have file cabinets full of past work. My eyes, however, might be thankful in their own way that the strain that once came at the end of the day as a result of staring down thousands individual ink lines is mostly a thing of the past.

June 17, 1998

From June 17, 1998

1998 was a year when the Canadian dollar experienced a great drop in its value against the US greenback. That’s when it dipped way down into the mid 60 cent range. There it hovered until the start of 2003, when it made its charge towards par, fortified with the strength that came with Canada emerging as a Petro state when oil prices were at record highs. There was a bit of a dip when the loonie got jostled around the the time of the economic meltdown of 2008, but for the most part, the Canadian dollar has been on a course of strength for more than a decade.

So out from the archives comes this cartoon from a different time but for a familiar reckoning we Canadians are not unaccustomed to. Great for exports, lousy for cross-border shopping.

Friday January 30, 2015

Friday January 30, 2015Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Friday January 30, 2015

Loonie drops below 80 cents US

The Canadian dollar has slipped below 80 cents US for the first time in almost six years.

The loonie closed at 79.87 cents US on Wednesday, down about three-quarters of a cent from Tuesday’s close.

From 2009

The Canadian dollar’s tumble accelerated just after the U.S. Federal Reserve reiterated it will be patient in raising rates from record lows and noted that the U.S. economy continues to improve.

That statement immediately sent the value of the U.S. dollar up against many major of the world’s currencies, including the Canadian dollar.

“The strong divergence of the Fed having a tightening bias, regardless of how much they end up tightening, is likely to keep the [U.S.] dollar supported versus most currencies,” Robert Tipp, a chief investment strategist at Prudential told Bloomberg.

From 2007

At official exchange rates, the dropping value of the loonie means it now costs more than $1.25 to buy a U.S. dollar.

The Canadian dollar hasn’t traded below 80 cents US since April 2009.

June 17, 1998

From 1998

“The Fed is leaning towards rate hike mode, while the [Bank of Canada] is in a rate cut mode.  It is a tale of two worlds,” wrote Rahim Madhavji of Knightsbridge Foreign Exchange in an emailed commentary.

“The trend is the friend for the U.S. dollar. The next few months could get ugly for the loonie.”

Economists have forecast that the Canadian dollar could drop to 75 cents US or even lower, depending on a number of factors, including the length of the current oil price slump.  Lower oil prices are considered a negative for the loonie’s value.

Crude oil prices dropped $1.78 to close at $44.45 US a barrel on Wednesday. That was the lowest close for crude futures since March of 2009. The U.S. Energy Department reported earlier in the day that oil inventories had risen to their highest levels ever recorded. (Source: CBC News)