Saturday September 28, 2024
Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Saturday September 28, 2024
Animated making-of clip here!
Netanyahu’s Escalation Risks Broader Conflict While Peace Remains Abandoned
Thomas L. Friedman’s recent analysis of the Israel-Hezbollah-Hamas-Iran conflict in The New York Times frames the issue as part of a global battle between a “coalition of inclusion” and a “coalition of resistance,” with Israel standing at a critical junction. While this perspective offers a compelling geopolitical narrative, it glosses over key realities on the ground. As Benjamin Netanyahu’s military offensive expands from Gaza to Lebanon, it seems less about securing peace and more about consolidating power through the elimination of key leadership figures in Hamas and Hezbollah. The harsh humanitarian toll and the escalating risks of broader regional conflict suggest a more dangerous path—one where peace is sidelined and devastation deepens.
Opinion: What This Israel-Hezbollah-Hamas-Iran Conflict is Really About
The insightful reporting by Ben Hubbard and Alissa J. Rubin in The New York Times vividly documents the devastating impact of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza. The relentless bombardment, aimed at dismantling Hamas leadership, has destroyed civilian infrastructure, flattened entire neighbourhoods, and displaced thousands. This is not a fight that ends with the death of key leaders; instead, it’s a cycle that perpetuates destruction, creating a new generation of anger and despair among Palestinians. As Friedman correctly notes, Netanyahu’s military campaign against Iran’s proxies is framed as part of a larger international conflict, but it’s also clear that this strategy is profoundly damaging to those living under fire.
Analysis: Facing a Big Test, Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’ Flails
Hubbard and Rubin emphasize the cost of this war not only in terms of lives lost but in the complete collapse of basic services and governance in Gaza. Hospitals are overwhelmed, water supplies are compromised, and electricity is scarce. Civilians bear the brunt of a war in which they have little say, caught between the militant tactics of Hamas and the overwhelming military power of Israel. Netanyahu’s military strategy may succeed in taking down Hamas leaders, but at the cost of eroding any prospects for a peaceful future in the region.
Netanyahu’s widening offensive in Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah in the north, risks expanding the humanitarian catastrophe beyond Gaza. Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah, now killed in an Israeli strike, was seen as a destabilizing force, but his death, like the toppling of Hamas leadership, is unlikely to bring about the peace Israel claims to be fighting for. As Hubbard and Rubin detail, the fear in Lebanon is palpable. The nation is already teetering on the edge of collapse due to its political paralysis, economic crisis, and a vast influx of refugees. Further destabilization from Israeli military actions could push Lebanon into outright disaster, echoing the ruin seen in Gaza.
Reader comments on Friedman’s analysis rightly point out the complexities Israel faces. One reader highlighted the entanglement of Israel’s military leadership with its far-right settler movement. Many high-ranking Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) officers come from these settlements, complicating any move toward a two-state solution or territorial concessions. The settlements—long supported by Netanyahu’s government—are not just political bargaining chips; they are deeply entrenched in Israel’s defence and security infrastructure. As one reader argued, Israel may be stuck in a “bear trap” of its own making. Any serious disengagement from the occupied territories risks not only international fallout but potential civil unrest within Israel itself.
The parallels Friedman draws between Israel’s regional struggle and the broader post-Cold War global order are illuminating but ultimately incomplete. While Israel is fighting proxies of Iran, Russia’s war in Ukraine is driven by similar attempts to resist Western inclusion. Yet, as one reader commented, America itself seems to be straddling the line between inclusion and resistance, particularly given the rise of populist, authoritarian-leaning movements at home. In this sense, the struggle between inclusion and resistance is not just an external geopolitical dynamic—it is one that many countries, including the U.S. and Israel, are grappling with internally.
Friedman’s argument that Israel can emerge as a stabilizing force through an alliance with Saudi Arabia overlooks the core issue of Palestinian sovereignty. While Netanyahu’s government seeks to normalize relations with Arab states like Saudi Arabia, the price of such an alliance—ignoring the plight of Palestinians—will likely prove unsustainable. As Ben Hubbard and Alissa J. Rubin report, the Israeli offensive against Hamas and Hezbollah has sparked widespread condemnation across the Arab world. Social media is flooded with posts calling out the destruction and human cost in Gaza and Lebanon. Saudi Arabia and other regional players may see the long-term benefit of aligning with Israel, but public opinion in these countries cannot ignore the ongoing suffering of Palestinians.
One of the key questions raised by both Friedman and the reader comments is whether Netanyahu has a plan beyond the military victories he seeks. The answer seems to be no. As one commenter noted, Netanyahu’s far-right coalition has shown little interest in pursuing peace or reconciliation with the Palestinians. The maps Netanyahu held up during his UN speech may reflect his vision of Israel’s place in the world, but their omission of Gaza and the West Bank underscores his government’s unwillingness to confront the realities of occupation and Palestinian statehood. Without a diplomatic strategy that addresses the core grievances of Palestinians, Netanyahu’s military victories will only be pyrrhic, ensuring more instability in the long run.
Hubbard and Rubin’s reporting, along with Friedman’s broader analysis, paints a picture of a region on the brink of broader conflict. The elimination of key leadership figures in Hamas and Hezbollah may satisfy short-term military objectives, but it is unlikely to lead to a lasting peace. Iran, which backs both Hezbollah and Hamas, will not simply abandon its proxies, and its response may come in ways that Israel and its allies are unprepared for. The risks of escalation, both within the region and involving global powers like Russia and China, are very real. Moreover, the humanitarian cost of these wars—particularly in Gaza and Lebanon—will only deepen the divides between Israel and the Arab world, making the prospect of normalization with Saudi Arabia ever more complicated.
While Netanyahu’s strategy may deliver tactical victories by eliminating Hamas and Hezbollah leaders, it is a strategy that comes with severe humanitarian costs and escalates the risk of broader conflict. True peace will require more than military dominance—it will demand a commitment to diplomacy, reconciliation, and a genuine effort to address the root causes of conflict, particularly Palestinian self-determination. Until Netanyahu and his government are willing to engage in meaningful peace efforts, the region will remain locked in cycles of violence and destruction. (AI)