Tiff Macklem – mackaycartoons

Thursday October 26, 2023

October 26, 2023 by Graeme MacKay

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Thursday October 26, 2023

From Food Banks to Interest Rates: A Tale of Two Economies

September 19, 2023

In yesterday’s announcements, we see two contrasting situations that shed light on different aspects of the Canadian economy. On one hand, we have the report on food banks, highlighting the growing number of Canadians struggling with high inflation and housing costs. On the other hand, we have the Bank of Canada’s announcement of holding the key interest rate steady, but with a possibility of future rate hikes due to persistent inflationary pressures.

News: Food Banks Canada report paints dire picture of Canada-wide affordability crisis

The report on food banks reveals the heartbreaking reality faced by many Canadians. The record-breaking number of people accessing food bank services reflects the challenges faced by individuals and families as they grapple with low wages, high rents, and rising costs. The report emphasizes that the issue of food insecurity is not limited to specific demographics but affects a wide range of people, including seniors, single mothers, low-income workers, people on social assistance, immigrants, and even those in higher income brackets. It calls for long-term social policy investments, such as affordable housing and increased fixed income rates, to address these challenges effectively.

April 13, 2023

In contrast, the Bank of Canada’s announcement focuses on the central bank’s efforts to manage inflation and ensure price stability. While the key interest rate remains steady for now, Governor Tiff Macklem has not ruled out the possibility of future rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist. The bank’s hawkish tone reflects its commitment to maintaining tight financial conditions to support economic growth and bring inflation back to the target of two percent. The bank’s quarterly monetary policy report forecasts slower economic growth in the short term but expects inflation to remain higher than the target until 2024.

News: Tiff Macklem to keep the Bank of Canada’s policy rate at 5 per cent, the highest level in two decades

December 10, 2021

These two announcements highlight the interconnectedness of economic factors and the challenges faced by individuals and the broader economy. While food bank usage reflects the struggles of everyday people, the Bank of Canada’s focus on inflation and interest rates demonstrates the central bank’s role in managing the overall economy. Both announcements underscore the need for comprehensive and coordinated efforts from both government and monetary authorities to address the issues of affordability, inflation, and social support.

Ultimately, it is crucial for policymakers to consider the broader impact of their decisions on the well-being of individuals and the overall economy. By addressing the underlying causes of food insecurity, such as affordable housing and livable wages, and carefully managing monetary policy to ensure price stability, a more balanced and equitable economic landscape can be achieved. (AI)

From sketch to finish, see the current way Graeme completes an editorial cartoon using an iPencil, the Procreate app, and a couple of cheats on an iPad Pro. If you’re creative, give illustration a try:

Friday Spetember 8, 2023

September 8, 2023 by Graeme MacKay

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Friday September 8, 2023

Chilling the Economic Heat: Macklem’s Freezer of Monetary Mastery

June 9, 2023

In a rather peculiar act that could be likened to a magician’s control over a giant freezer’s thermostat, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem took the stage. With a flourish, he presented an economic spectacle that had the audience in awe.

Mr. Macklem, the orchestrator of monetary policies, confidently declared that the central bank’s prized 2-percent inflation target was “now within reach.” This proclamation came just a day after the central bank had hit the pause button on its monetary tightening efforts, maintaining its key interest rate at 5 percent after two rate hikes during the summer.

News: Bank of Canada’s Macklem says rates may be high enough to ease inflation

April 13, 2023

“With previous interest rate adjustments still percolating through the economy,” Macklem proclaimed, “monetary policy might just be chilly enough to restore price stability.” It was as if he possessed a magical dial to cool down the economy, akin to turning a giant freezer to lower temperatures.

However, amid this grand spectacle, ominous warnings lingered in the air. The governor cautioned that his team was ready to crank up the chill factor by raising rates again should consumer price growth stubbornly persist. Inflation, he lamented, was as elusive as finding ice cream in a snowstorm.

The Bank of Canada had embarked on an audacious journey, raising interest rates a whopping ten times in the past year-and-a-half. It was as if borrowers were trapped in a colossal freezer, with the mission to slow down spending and investment, allowing supply to catch up with demand, and, of course, to extinguish the flames of rising prices.

November 3, 2022

In a prior act of this economic drama, the bank had resumed its rate hikes after a five-month intermission, believing the economy was not cooling down swiftly enough to subdue inflation. However, a series of unfortunate events unfolded over the past month, changing the storyline and bringing a frosty breeze to the narrative.

Gross domestic product data revealed that the Canadian economy had indeed contracted in the second quarter, and the unemployment rate had increased by half a percentage point. Job vacancies, once as numerous as snowflakes in a blizzard, had dwindled compared to a year ago.

“The data since mid-July,” Macklem noted, “provide more evident proof that higher interest rates are moderating spending and restoring balance between supply and demand in the economy.” The central bank’s grip on the thermostat was undeniable.

Opinion: Tiff Macklem reads the tea leaves: Bank of Canada was right to hit pause on interest rates

May 2, 2020

Yet, this chilly saga was far from its conclusion. Macklem, the vigilant conductor, struck a hawkish tone when addressing inflation. Despite a decline in the annual consumer price index growth, core inflation measures stubbornly clung to higher levels. Taming the inflationary beast was proving to be quite the challenge.

Amidst it all, Macklem tackled two burning questions. Should the bank exclude mortgage interest costs when assessing inflation, a notion as icy as the Arctic itself? Or, should the bank abandon its 2-percent inflation target in favor of a loftier goal, a move that would send shivers down many spines?

Macklem, in his dramatic denouement, stood resolute. “You don’t raise the target just because you missed it,” he declared, as if to tell the audience that the freezer’s temperature setting was immutable.

The grand finale of this frosty performance left no doubt: the 2-percent target was sacrosanct, an anchor in the icy sea of economic fluctuations. Stability, it seemed, was found in keeping the cost of living frozen around this magical number. And so, the economic theatre lowered its curtains, with Macklem’s symphony of monetary control echoing in the ears of all those who dared to listen. (AI)

Friday June 9, 2023

June 9, 2023 by Graeme MacKay

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Friday June 9, 2023

Navigating Turbulent Economic Times Ahead

January 24, 2023

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is facing a critical challenge as he grapples with the effects of steeply rising interest rates on Canadians. The recent decision by the Bank of Canada to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.75 percent, the highest level in over two decades, has raised concerns about the potential consequences for individuals and families across the country.

The immediate impact of these rising interest rates is being felt by both mortgage holders and renters. The cost of borrowing has increased, making it more challenging for individuals to afford their mortgage payments or find affordable rental options. As a result, there is a growing risk of foreclosures, insolvencies, and bankruptcies, which can lead to a cycle of poverty, homelessness, and other social issues.

Analysis: The painful end of free money as real interest rates start to rise

May 10, 2022

Moreover, a recent survey conducted by the non-profit Angus Reid Institute indicates that rising living costs have become a significant issue for Canadians, with 63 percent of respondents identifying it as their top concern. This widespread economic worry is now correlated with a loss of support for the ruling Liberal party, particularly among its own voter base. Former Liberal supporters are increasingly seeking alternative options in search of relief from the financial burden they face.

The decline in support for the Liberal party is notable, as it comes after the party had successfully won a minority government in 2021. The survey reveals that 41 percent of struggling former Liberal voters and 44 percent of uncomfortable former Liberal voters would not commit to supporting the party again. While the largest portion of these former Liberal supporters would consider voting for the NDP, who have been supporting the minority Liberal government through a confidence-and-supply agreement, this trend poses a concern for the Liberal party strategists.

October 28, 2022

Prime Minister Trudeau must now address the challenges posed by rising interest rates and the economic hardships faced by Canadians. It is crucial for his government to develop a comprehensive plan that prioritizes the needs of individuals and families who are most affected by the rising cost of living. This plan should include measures to support those at risk of foreclosure, insolvency, and homelessness, as well as initiatives to alleviate poverty, hunger, and addiction.

News: More Bank of Canada rate hikes could ‘spell trouble’ as more people struggle with finances

Additionally, the government must focus on improving housing affordability, healthcare access, and addressing climate change concerns. These issues were identified as top priorities by Canadians in the Angus Reid survey and must be tackled to restore public confidence in the Liberal party’s ability to address their needs effectively.

September 8, 2022

The Liberal Government should also consider working closely with the Bank of Canada to monitor the impact of interest rate hikes on the economy and make necessary adjustments to support vulnerable individuals and businesses. Collaboration between fiscal and monetary authorities is crucial to strike a balance between curbing inflation and mitigating the adverse effects on Canadians.

Prime Minister Trudeau must take swift and decisive action to navigate the challenges posed by steeply rising interest rates. By implementing a comprehensive plan that addresses the immediate needs of Canadians, while also focusing on long-term solutions, the government can alleviate the economic hardships faced by individuals and families. This will not only restore confidence in the ruling party but also demonstrate a commitment to the well-being and prosperity of all Canadians. (AI)

Thursday December 15, 2022

December 15, 2022 by Graeme MacKay

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Thursday December 15, 2022

Household debt levels could cripple economy, economist warns

November 3, 2022

Canadian household debt levels have increased enough to spark a recession when combined with interest rate hikes, says one economist, after Statistics Canada released its latest report Monday.

Jim Stanford, the director of the Centre for Future Work, said the debt levels are high enough that, as interest rates rise, disposable income ordinarily spent on consumer goods is being used to pay debt.

“Chances are you’re going to see an increased interest bite from household budgets equal to about two or three per cent of GDP,” he said. “That alone is enough to put the economy into a recession, let alone the other impacts on business investment, for example.”

The standard definition of a recession is when the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) contracts for at least two quarters.

Household consumption accounts for more than 50 per cent of Canada’s GDP, Stanford said, making it the biggest single contributor to economic growth.

Stanford said $16 billion in additional interest payments made over three months is worth more than half of a percentage point of Canada’s GDP.

Statistics Canada’s new figures show for every dollar of disposable income in the third quarter of 2022 there was $1.83 in credit market debt. The figure is a slight increase from the previous quarter and up from $1.77 last year.

Thursday September 8, 2022

The figures come as the Bank of Canada has continued to raise its key policy rate. Last week it hiked the key policy rate another 50 basis points to 4.25 per cent in an effort to fight inflation.

Mortgage payments also hit Canadians hard with interest payments expanding by more than 16 per cent, which is the largest increase on record, according to the StatsCan report.

“It’s certainly hard evidence that the rising interest rates are wreaking havoc with household finances,” Stanford said. “We’ve never seen an interest shock like that to Canadian households before.”

He said he expects the situation to worsen in the coming months.

On Monday, Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem defended the interest rate hikes in Vancouver in front of the Business Council of British Columbia. He said they are working and the country needs to stay the course.

“If we under-tighten, inflation is going to stay too high. Canadians are going to have to continue to endure the hardship of higher inflation,” Macklem said.

He said the bank was surprised at how international events, like the Russian invasion of Ukraine and supply chain issues powered inflation.

He said such trends will make it more difficult to bring inflation down than it has been in the past. (The Toronto Star) From sketch to finish, see the current way Graeme completes an editorial cartoon using an iPencil, the Procreate app, and a couple of cheats on an iPad Pro … These sped up clips are posted to encourage others to be creative, to take advantage of the technology many of us already have and to use it to produce satire. Comfort the afflicted. Afflict the comforted.

Thursday November 3, 2022

November 3, 2022 by Graeme MacKay

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Thursday November 3, 2022

Freeland to release mini-budget today as economists warn a recession is coming

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland will table her fall economic statement today — a roadmap of what’s to come from the federal government as the economy stands on the brink of a recession.

July 9, 2020

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau faced some heat when he told reporters during the 2021 election campaign that he doesn’t pay much attention to monetary policy and the Bank of Canada’s mandate to keep inflation at manageable levels.

“You’ll forgive me if I don’t think about monetary policy. You’ll understand, I think about families,” Trudeau said at a Vancouver campaign stop.

But now, with inflation at levels not seen in decades, monetary policy is something virtually everyone in government is seized with as the central bank hikes rates to push down sky-high prices.

Under Canada’s system, monetary policy (interest rates) is set by the Bank of Canada, while fiscal policy (spending) is up to the elected government.

Ontario Liberal MP Marcus Powlowski said that with interest rates so high, “times are changing.”

“I think there’s more of an opportunity to be frugal,” he said. “Any debt we incur is going to grow.”

MP Rachel Bendayan, the associate minister of finance, said the government has been “extremely fiscally responsible” and is “planning on continuing on that track.”

May 13, 2022

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has made it clear what he wants: no new spending unless there are cuts elsewhere.

Anything else would be “pouring inflationary fuel on the fire,” Poiliere said in question period Wednesday.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh said he wants Freeland to address what he calls corporate greed and reform the employment insurance (EI) program.

Freeland has signalled already the government is expecting tough times ahead.

The era of cheap cash is over — rising rates will make it more difficult for businesses to borrow money, which could lead to downsizing and job losses.

The sizeable jump in the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate — it’s gone from just 0.25 per cent in January to 3.75 per cent today — has also forced the government to rethink how much it will spend.

The cost to service the federal debt is relatively low right now, but it’s poised to increase in the short and medium term.

April 8, 2022

There are early signals suggesting that Ottawa’s fiscal health in the short term could be much better than predicted, thanks to higher oil prices and the growth in personal and corporate taxes in this era of high inflation.

According to figures released last week through the Public Accounts of Canada, the government’s fiscal ledger, the budget deficit for the 2021-22 fiscal year came in at $90.2 billion — substantially less than the $113.8-billion deficit Freeland projected in her April budget.

In an economic and fiscal outlook published last month, the PBO forecast a budget deficit of $25.8 billion — about 0.9 per cent of GDP — for the 2022-23 fiscal year if the government pursues “status quo policy” — meaning no major new spending on programs. That is significantly smaller than the April budget’s forecast of $52.8 billion. (CBC)

From sketch to finish, see the current way Graeme completes an editorial cartoon using an iPencil, the Procreate app, and a couple of cheats on an iPad Pro …