Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Editorial Cartoon by Graeme MacKay, The Hamilton Spectator – Tuesday, October 19, 2010

3-way race

Bob Bratina has an edge over Larry Di Ianni and Mayor Fred Eisenberger in a tight three-way mayoral race in which more than a quarter of voters have yet to make up their minds.

A Spectator/Nanos poll shows Bratina has support from 23.4 per cent of the 1,000 Hamiltonians polled. Eisenberger garnered 20.8 per cent, while Di Ianni is trailing slightly behind his competitors at 18.3 per cent.

However, most voters polled are undecided, at 27.4 per cent. The high percentage of undecided voters means the race is neck and neck, despite Bratina’s small lead.

“I would consider it a close three-way race. Any three of these candidates could win,” said pollster Nik Nanos.

“Many times when it’s a three-way race, nobody knows who’s going to win. There are a lot of voters who are last-minute political shoppers. It’s kind of like Christmas shopping — they wait to the very end in terms of when they make their voting decision.”

The poll, commissioned by The Spectator and conducted between Oct. 9 and 13 by Nanos Research, has a 3.1 per cent margin of error 19 times out of 20. Only residents who said they were likely to vote were polled.

Nanos said the slim margin shows voters are having trouble distinguishing the top three candidates from one another. What will push one candidate over the top in the final days of the campaign, Nanos says, are messaging, money and organization.  (Source: Hamilton Spectator) http://www.thespec.com/news-story/2141406-3-way-race/